Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000298 0.000332 0.000373 0.000418 0.000468 0.000526
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000203 0.000247 0.000299 0.000365 0.000448 0.000547 0.000677
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000220 0.000284 0.000370 0.000486 0.000636 0.000848
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000147 0.000201 0.000271 0.000373 0.000518 0.000718 0.001019
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000176 0.000248 0.000357 0.000519 0.000754 0.001128
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000164 0.000240 0.000359 0.000544 0.000826 0.001299
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000159 0.000241 0.000374 0.000591 0.000937 0.001543
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000147 0.000228 0.000367 0.000600 0.000986 0.001694
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000132 0.000211 0.000349 0.000590 0.001002 0.001787
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000126 0.000208 0.000353 0.000616 0.001084 0.002009
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000125 0.000211 0.000370 0.000666 0.001213 0.002338
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000117 0.000202 0.000364 0.000674 0.001264 0.002523
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000111 0.000196 0.000363 0.000692 0.001339 0.002774
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000104 0.000188 0.000356 0.000698 0.001393 0.002990
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000100 0.000185 0.000361 0.000729 0.001501 0.003345
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000096 0.000182 0.000364 0.000756 0.001605 0.003707
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000089 0.000171 0.000348 0.000740 0.001612 0.003839
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000085 0.000167 0.000349 0.000763 0.001711 0.004215
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000171 0.000365 0.000819 0.001893 0.004840
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000080 0.000164 0.000357 0.000821 0.001946 0.005130
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000074 0.000153 0.000340 0.000798 0.001934 0.005239
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000152 0.000344 0.000827 0.002059 0.005761
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000155 0.000361 0.000888 0.002277 0.006601